Betting Lines
| Spread | SMC -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | SCU +275 SMC -275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SMC +24 | 122 | Lost |
| Massey | SMC -2.5 (-21.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.6 (-12.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SMC -3.4 (-20.6) | 133.1 (-11.1) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SMC -0.8 (-23.2) | 133.0 (-11.0) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SMC -1.0 (-23.0) | 133.9 (-11.9) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SMC -1.6 (-22.4) | 133.0 (-11.0) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2026 | SCU 76 – 71 SMC |
| Feb 26, 2026 | SMC 86 – 67 SCU |
| Jan 18, 2026 | SCU 62 – 54 SMC |
| Feb 12, 2025 | SMC 73 – 64 SCU |
| Jan 30, 2025 | SMC 67 – 54 SCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCU | SMC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 26-8 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 15-1 |
| Home | 11-4 | 14-4 |
| Away | 5-6 | 9-0 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 73.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 60.2 |
| Massey | 4.2 (#107) | 10.7 (#47) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.24 (#82) | 1.09 (#90) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.44 (#90) | 1.44 (#89) |
| RPI | 0.554 (#91) | 0.564 (#76) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCU | SMC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 38.8 | 40.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 14.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 40.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 18.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 45.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 76.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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