Betting Lines
| Spread | CBU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | CBU -225 ACU +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CBU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CBU +15 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | CBU -7.5 (+7.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.2 (-19.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CBU -5.5 (+9.5) | 137.5 (-16.5) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CBU -4.3 (+10.7) | 136.6 (-15.6) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CBU -5.0 (+10.0) | 137.4 (-16.4) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CBU -5.7 (+9.3) | 139.7 (-18.7) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | CBU 87 – 48 ACU |
| Feb 8, 2026 | CBU 65 – 63 ACU |
| Jan 16, 2026 | CBU 74 – 58 ACU |
| Jan 31, 2025 | CBU 83 – 60 ACU |
| Jan 19, 2025 | CBU 60 – 54 ACU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CBU | ACU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 10-10 |
| Home | 11-7 | 8-6 |
| Away | 4-9 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.1 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.1 | 73.7 |
| Massey | -0.3 (#174) | -3.8 (#239) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.36 (#213) | -0.79 (#249) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.18 (#196) | -0.75 (#234) |
| RPI | 0.464 (#242) | 0.467 (#236) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CBU | ACU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 47.0% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 23.7% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 30.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 21.9% |
| DRB% | 74.5% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 31.4% |
Game Analysis
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