Betting Lines
| Spread | MEM -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | WICH +170 MEM -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MEM +26 | 198 | Lost |
| Massey | MEM -2.9 (-23.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.8 (+43.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MEM -1.8 (-24.2) | 152.7 (+45.3) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MEM -3.7 (-22.3) | 146.4 (+51.6) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MEM -3.6 (-22.4) | 149.5 (+48.5) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MEM -2.9 (-23.1) | 152.0 (+46.0) | 37% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | WICH 88 – 82 MEM |
| Jan 24, 2026 | WICH 74 – 59 MEM |
| Mar 14, 2025 | MEM 83 – 80 WICH |
| Feb 16, 2025 | WICH 84 – 79 MEM |
| Jan 24, 2025 | MEM 61 – 53 WICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WICH | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-19 | 22-10 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 11-7 |
| Home | 10-5 | 13-2 |
| Away | 2-9 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 3-5 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 80.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 75.8 |
| Massey | 1.6 (#139) | 8.5 (#63) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.32 (#147) | 3.11 (#11) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.36 (#156) | 3.45 (#16) |
| RPI | 0.527 (#130) | 0.648 (#11) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WICH | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 29.5% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 41.9 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 18.8% | 30.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.7% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 67.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
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