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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
9–6 on winners
spread MAE 10.4
15 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-4.0 | 140.2 | 49% | 61–73 | ✗ |
|
|
-0.9 | 144.8 | 46% | 65–73 | ✗ |
|
|
+9.0 | 142.1 | 82% | 93–88 | ✗ |
|
|
+3.1 | 148.9 | 65% | 88–63 | ✗ |
|
|
+7.7 | 132.7 | 78% | 54–64 | ✓ |
|
|
-2.7 | 145.8 | 40% | 62–75 | ✗ |
|
|
+6.6 | 153.4 | 79% | 60–77 | ✓ |
|
|
+20.5 | 135.9 | 90% | 58–76 | ✓ |
|
|
+4.4 | 141.3 | 71% | 74–72 | ✗ |
|
|
+5.6 | 137.6 | 77% | 74–87 | ✓ |
|
|
+14.1 | 129.7 | 89% | 61–93 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.2 | 145.6 | 69% | 64–69 | ✓ |
|
|
+10.8 | 151.4 | 86% | 62–82 | ✓ |
|
|
+0.2 | 133.4 | 53% | 70–75 | ✓ |
|
|
-0.1 | 152.4 | 52% | 86–77 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.