Betting Lines
| Spread | NIA -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | NIA -250 SIE +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NIA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIE +5 | 181 | Lost |
| Massey | NIA -15.9 (-20.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.0 (+40.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NIA -9.0 (-14.0) | 142.1 (+38.9) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NIA -11.4 (-16.4) | 143.0 (+38.0) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NIA -11.4 (-16.4) | 144.2 (+36.8) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NIA -12.5 (-17.5) | 143.2 (+37.8) | 86% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | SIE 82 – 79 NIA |
| Dec 6, 2025 | SIE 83 – 54 NIA |
| Feb 22, 2025 | SIE 94 – 60 NIA |
| Dec 6, 2024 | NIA 69 – 68 SIE |
| Mar 13, 2024 | NIA 67 – 65 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NIA | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 4-28 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 3-17 |
| Home | 5-9 | 2-12 |
| Away | 10-6 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 60.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -5.4 (#268) | -17.4 (#360) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.92 (#262) | -2.58 (#343) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.38 (#277) | -3.55 (#349) |
| RPI | 0.450 (#260) | 0.368 (#353) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NIA | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 39.3% |
| 3PT% | 39.1% | 26.0% |
| REB / G | 30.5 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 13.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 43.6% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 23.9% |
| ORB% | 25.1% | 35.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 17.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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