Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSD -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | CP +600 UCSD -700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCSD +25 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | UCSD -9.1 (-15.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.8 (+14.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCSD -8.5 (-16.5) | 134.1 (+12.9) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCSD -9.0 (-16.0) | 134.2 (+12.8) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCSD -8.6 (-16.4) | 134.8 (+12.2) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCSD -9.2 (-15.8) | 134.6 (+12.4) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | UCSD 72 – 69 CP |
| Mar 1, 2026 | UCSD 80 – 64 CP |
| Jan 2, 2026 | CP 67 – 65 UCSD |
| Feb 21, 2025 | UCSD 81 – 67 CP |
| Jan 10, 2025 | UCSD 95 – 68 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CP | UCSD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-28 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 0-20 | 15-5 |
| Home | 3-11 | 14-2 |
| Away | 0-16 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L20 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.1 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 69.9 |
| Massey | -9.8 (#320) | 3.3 (#115) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.62 (#308) | 0.16 (#162) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.15 (#315) | 0.47 (#144) |
| RPI | 0.397 (#331) | 0.500 (#176) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CP | UCSD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.1% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 31.1 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.8% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 24.8% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 64.8% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.4% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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