Betting Lines
| Spread | SAC -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | SAC -120 IDST +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SAC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SAC +2 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | SAC -1.6 (+0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.2 (-4.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IDST -0.2 (+2.2) | 132.7 (-2.7) | 48% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SAC -1.4 (+0.6) | 129.9 (+0.1) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SAC -1.0 (+1.0) | 132.6 (-2.6) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SAC -0.7 (+1.3) | 133.3 (-3.3) | 50% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | SAC 83 – 65 IDST |
| Jan 2, 2026 | IDST 97 – 84 SAC |
| Feb 23, 2025 | IDST 83 – 66 SAC |
| Jan 24, 2025 | SAC 75 – 71 IDST |
| Feb 9, 2024 | IDST 68 – 40 SAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SAC | IDST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-24 | 14-20 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 7-11 |
| Home | 6-8 | 8-5 |
| Away | 2-13 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.2 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 71.8 |
| Massey | -8.2 (#301) | -5.7 (#274) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.44 (#302) | -1.39 (#297) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.71 (#296) | -1.60 (#290) |
| RPI | 0.416 (#309) | 0.412 (#313) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SAC | IDST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 30.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 24.8% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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