Betting Lines
| Spread | OMA -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | OMA -120 NDSU +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OMA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OMA +4 | 188 | Won |
| Massey | OMA -5.5 (-1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.9 (+40.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OMA -3.2 (+0.8) | 142.7 (+45.3) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OMA -5.0 (-1.0) | 144.2 (+43.8) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OMA -4.9 (-0.9) | 145.8 (+42.2) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OMA -5.3 (-1.3) | 145.9 (+42.1) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | NDSU 74 – 50 OMA |
| Feb 7, 2026 | NDSU 92 – 84 OMA |
| Jan 10, 2026 | NDSU 78 – 76 OMA |
| Feb 8, 2025 | OMA 85 – 74 NDSU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | OMA 85 – 80 NDSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OMA | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 8-8 |
| Home | 11-3 | 10-4 |
| Away | 2-13 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.7 | 76.3 |
| Massey | -3.0 (#229) | -4.5 (#253) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.10 (#275) | -0.58 (#235) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.09 (#257) | -0.89 (#241) |
| RPI | 0.433 (#292) | 0.478 (#218) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OMA | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 38.1% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 25.8% |
| FT Rate | 33.8% | 19.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 13.4% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
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