Now she's with one of my good-time buddies, they're drinking in some crosstown bar. "Whipping Post" - The Allman Brothers
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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37–11 on winners spread MAE 8.0 48 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Hofstra @ Purdue +15.6 148.8 88% 66–85 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Tennessee +28.6 134.4 91% 49–84 ✓
Robert Morris @ Central Michigan +4.6 138.3 65% 71–66 ✗
Rider @ Stonehill +0.6 146.0 48% 78–67 ✗
Sacred Heart @ Fairfield +5.6 139.9 75% 59–61 ✓
Alabama State @ North Alabama +7.6 148.0 74% 63–71 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Holy Cross -9.8 136.4 17% 75–71 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Hampton +0.9 139.1 54% 61–66 ✓
NJIT @ Army +7.3 141.4 81% 62–63 ✓
Delaware State @ Delaware +14.9 140.6 89% 69–77 ✓
Western Carolina @ Davidson +11.1 148.5 84% 64–72 ✓
William & Mary @ Old Dominion +9.6 132.0 83% 62–72 ✓
Jacksonville @ VCU +4.7 130.7 58% 73–62 ✗
Cleveland State @ St. Bonaventure +4.6 134.8 64% 42–61 ✓
Brown @ Rhode Island +1.4 128.3 53% 59–58 ✗
Florida Gulf Coast @ Florida Atlantic +8.1 140.1 77% 53–85 ✓
Pennsylvania @ Villanova +9.8 142.9 83% 59–70 ✓
Navy @ West Virginia +16.3 143.7 87% 64–85 ✓
Boston University @ Notre Dame +10.2 132.8 82% 75–81 ✓
Cornell @ Miami +11.6 155.2 85% 105–107 ✓
Colgate @ Binghamton -7.4 142.4 25% 81–62 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Illinois State +7.6 145.6 76% 81–87 ✓
Ball State @ Eastern Illinois -7.0 136.4 21% 76–59 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Tulsa +2.6 148.3 57% 76–72 ✗
Campbell @ Evansville -5.4 130.8 36% 66–72 ✗
Indiana State @ Southern Illinois +2.7 146.9 67% 74–71 ✗
Omaha @ Drake +17.0 140.3 89% 65–78 ✓
Nicholls @ Texas Tech +21.4 139.0 91% 71–78 ✓
Dayton @ Virginia Tech +8.2 128.8 83% 49–77 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Southeast Missouri State +6.1 143.5 71% 89–68 ✗
Nebraska @ Indiana +12.3 134.6 84% 65–81 ✓
Manhattan @ Providence +16.8 140.0 89% 59–99 ✓
UConn @ Florida -4.8 148.6 25% 75–54 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Washington State +15.5 137.0 86% 47–68 ✓
Utah Valley @ BYU +5.2 148.4 70% 75–60 ✗
Loyola Marymount @ Grand Canyon +5.8 132.2 70% 69–65 ✗
Arizona State @ SMU -6.0 135.0 29% 75–57 ✓
Pittsburgh @ Vanderbilt +3.8 136.1 54% 74–75 ✓
Towson @ Clemson +3.4 135.6 72% 75–80 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ Fresno State +11.4 128.3 82% 56–65 ✓
New Mexico State @ Santa Clara +4.6 150.0 78% 65–66 ✓
Denver @ Sacramento State +2.8 142.2 68% 85–87 ✓
Weber State @ California Baptist +9.0 128.8 82% 52–64 ✓
Missouri State @ Saint Mary's +12.3 123.7 86% 46–66 ✓
Hawai'i @ UNLV +3.9 130.0 71% 62–77 ✓
Eastern Washington @ California +1.3 125.6 41% 50–48 ✗
Merrimack @ San Francisco +19.5 135.1 90% 51–69 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ USC +8.5 142.6 81% 50–64 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.