We need the funk. "Give Up the Funk" - Parliament
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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37–9 on winners spread MAE 7.4 46 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Illinois @ Texas -0.2 136.4 41% 85–78 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Arkansas +19.3 133.2 90% 58–65 ✓
Milwaukee @ Chattanooga +10.7 144.8 81% 76–88 ✓
Lafayette @ Princeton +15.3 128.9 88% 58–69 ✓
South Carolina State @ Winthrop +8.5 154.6 86% 67–81 ✓
Charleston @ Presbyterian -9.5 141.9 16% 67–62 ✓
UMBC @ Columbia -5.1 148.1 24% 73–66 ✓
East Carolina @ UNC Wilmington +6.0 133.6 75% 61–74 ✓
American University @ Mount St. Mary's +4.4 129.9 69% 69–61 ✗
Saint Louis @ Iona +6.5 148.9 69% 62–84 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ Temple +10.3 147.6 84% 60–70 ✓
Bucknell @ La Salle +3.9 135.2 71% 72–82 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ George Mason +13.5 135.2 88% 54–67 ✓
Wagner @ Fordham +7.4 135.5 79% 59–72 ✓
Vermont @ Dartmouth -0.4 138.4 48% 68–52 ✓
High Point @ Furman +8.3 157.3 79% 85–82 ✗
Coppin State @ NC State +18.5 159.6 90% 72–94 ✓
Georgia @ Georgia Tech +4.4 132.7 69% 77–79 ✓
New Hampshire @ Boston College +10.2 129.0 70% 74–71 ✗
Hartford @ St. Francis Brooklyn +8.6 134.2 86% 50–68 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ Wofford +8.2 135.1 74% 61–71 ✓
North Florida @ Houston +28.8 134.0 91% 42–76 ✓
James Madison @ Virginia +6.8 133.5 82% 50–55 ✓
Tarleton State @ Baylor +16.6 147.8 88% 57–80 ✓
Jackson State @ TCU +18.3 139.4 89% 51–78 ✓
North Texas @ UT Arlington -8.9 120.7 14% 60–57 ✓
Bradley @ SIU Edwardsville +0.8 132.6 55% 56–54 ✗
Little Rock @ Memphis +23.3 149.0 90% 71–87 ✓
Green Bay @ Loyola Chicago +16.6 129.7 89% 46–70 ✓
Arkansas State @ Central Arkansas +0.9 134.7 54% 67–72 ✓
Kansas City @ Oklahoma +15.5 127.0 87% 53–75 ✓
Abilene Christian @ Kansas State +15.4 137.0 89% 64–81 ✓
Toledo @ Northern Iowa +0.6 150.4 51% 83–75 ✗
North Carolina Central @ Marquette +17.2 149.2 89% 78–90 ✓
Maryland @ Wisconsin -1.5 129.5 57% 59–64 ✗
East Texas A&M @ Wyoming +2.2 135.4 64% 76–91 ✓
Sam Houston @ Oklahoma State +3.1 128.9 71% 51–65 ✓
South Dakota State @ Montana -0.2 131.9 52% 56–81 ✗
North Dakota @ Idaho +5.3 135.4 71% 66–76 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ San José State +3.6 126.6 71% 48–58 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Pacific +9.1 148.3 77% 73–69 ✗
Iowa @ Duke +0.8 141.1 54% 62–74 ✓
Nevada @ Pepperdine -0.7 142.4 45% 85–77 ✓
DePaul @ St. John's +8.6 153.5 80% 67–86 ✓
Siena @ Georgetown +3.7 144.3 68% 68–75 ✓
Michigan State @ Penn State +6.4 141.2 71% 67–58 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.