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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
8–1 on winners
spread MAE 8.7
9 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kennesaw State
@
Charleston Southern
|
-2.0 | 138.7 | 41% | 76–65 | ✓ |
UAlbany
@
Massachusetts
|
+16.0 | 141.4 | 89% | 73–87 | ✓ |
UMass Lowell
@
Long Island University
|
-10.8 | 145.7 | 15% | 84–64 | ✓ |
Kent State
@
Gonzaga
|
+5.8 | 146.8 | 75% | 66–73 | ✓ |
Troy
@
San Diego State
|
+8.2 | 142.3 | 82% | 55–60 | ✓ |
North Dakota State
@
Portland
|
+12.0 | 150.2 | 84% | 67–62 | ✗ |
South Dakota
@
Air Force
|
+7.0 | 131.1 | 75% | 58–79 | ✓ |
Oakland
@
Syracuse
|
+14.2 | 150.6 | 86% | 66–95 | ✓ |
Yale
@
Butler
|
+2.0 | 131.3 | 70% | 61–71 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.