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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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12–3 on winners spread MAE 8.3 51 games

Matchup	Spread	Total	Home win	Result	Pick
Kentucky @ Michigan State	-4.3	136.2	34%	77–86	✗
Winthrop @ Auburn	—	—	—	65–89	—
Buffalo @ UConn	+20.2	142.0	90%	64–84	✓
Washington State @ Prairie View A&M	—	—	—	59–70	—
Morgan State @ Akron	+7.1	139.4	86%	59–65	✓
Bowling Green @ Wright State	—	—	—	71–80	—
Bucknell @ Saint Peter's	—	—	—	71–82	—
Mercer @ Georgia State	—	—	—	83–85	—
James Madison @ Howard	—	—	—	95–69	—
Stony Brook @ Rhode Island	—	—	—	64–74	—
New Hampshire @ Fordham	—	—	—	61–79	—
Pennsylvania @ Drexel	—	—	—	64–59	—
Dartmouth @ Quinnipiac	—	—	—	72–81	—
Rice @ Middle Tennessee	—	—	—	46–81	—
Queens University @ La Salle	—	—	—	60–72	—
Central Connecticut @ St. John's	+21.0	155.2	90%	74–91	✓
Binghamton @ Maryland	—	—	—	52–76	—
Morehead State @ West Virginia	+15.6	129.5	89%	57–75	✓
Vanderbilt @ Temple	—	—	—	89–87	—
Utah Valley @ Wake Forest	+7.3	141.0	84%	65–68	✓
Colgate @ Syracuse	—	—	—	80–68	—
Florida A&M @ Miami	—	—	—	61–87	—
South Carolina Upstate @ Clemson	—	—	—	70–81	—
Alcorn State @ Stephen F. Austin	—	—	—	69–60	—
Chattanooga @ Ole Miss	—	—	—	58–70	—
Gardner-Webb @ North Carolina	—	—	—	66–72	—
Pacific @ North Dakota	-1.2	150.7	47%	93–63	✓
Eastern Michigan @ Bradley	—	—	—	61–89	—
Oral Roberts @ Texas Southern	+0.5	144.0	53%	82–64	✗
St. Bonaventure @ South Dakota State	—	—	—	62–66	—
New Mexico @ SMU	—	—	—	84–63	—
UNC Wilmington @ Oklahoma	—	—	—	53–74	—
SIU Edwardsville @ Missouri	—	—	—	80–105	—
Marquette @ Purdue	—	—	—	70–75	—
San Diego State @ Stanford	+1.3	138.5	49%	74–62	✗
Montana State @ Oregon	—	—	—	51–81	—
Fairfield @ Xavier	—	—	—	65–78	—
Memphis @ Saint Louis	—	—	—	84–90	—
Green Bay @ Wisconsin	+23.5	126.3	90%	45–56	✓
Florida International @ NC State	—	—	—	74–107	—
Alabama @ South Alabama	—	—	—	65–55	—
Alabama State @ San José State	—	—	—	57–70	—
Cal State Northridge @ California Baptist	—	—	—	55–62	—
Loyola Marymount @ UC Irvine	—	—	—	64–79	—
California @ UC San Diego	+1.1	127.9	71%	62–64	✓
Duke @ Kansas	—	—	—	64–69	—
Dayton @ UNLV	+3.9	137.3	71%	52–60	✓
Vermont @ USC	+5.8	144.4	79%	57–59	✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Kent State	+17.4	139.0	88%	68–94	✓
Sacred Heart @ UMass Lowell	+18.0	154.2	90%	81–90	✓
Michigan @ Pittsburgh	—	—	—	91–60	—

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.