Come on down and meet your maker. Come on down and take a stand. "The Stand" - The Alarm
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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35–14 on winners spread MAE 8.4 51 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
UC Irvine @ UC San Diego — — — 79–65 —
USC @ Arizona State -7.4 149.2 24% 73–64 ✓
Georgetown @ Syracuse +11.9 150.6 87% 69–74 ✓
Incarnate Word @ LSU New Orleans +1.0 137.8 55% 64–86 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Cleveland State +4.6 129.7 68% 71–74 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ Eastern Kentucky +12.1 149.6 88% 80–90 ✓
Stetson @ North Alabama -0.1 141.7 50% 66–73 ✗
Louisiana Tech @ Western Kentucky +4.8 140.9 70% 63–58 ✗
Florida Atlantic @ Old Dominion +6.2 132.3 70% 55–64 ✓
Santa Clara @ Saint Mary's +7.8 128.3 68% 66–64 ✗
Hawai'i @ UC Riverside — — — 68–70 —
Gonzaga @ Portland -15.7 171.4 14% 116–88 ✓
South Dakota @ Kansas City -0.4 126.8 36% 68–62 ✓
California Baptist @ Utah Valley +6.4 146.8 75% 77–81 ✓
Grand Canyon @ Tarleton State -4.0 130.3 34% 59–48 ✓
Long Beach State @ Cal State Fullerton +3.0 153.3 64% 72–75 ✓
North Dakota @ Oral Roberts +8.3 141.8 78% 57–74 ✓
Omaha @ North Dakota State +8.5 135.3 82% 66–80 ✓
Western Illinois @ South Dakota State +11.3 152.7 83% 63–92 ✓
LSU @ Ole Miss +1.4 142.4 57% 75–61 ✗
UCLA @ Arizona +4.4 142.1 72% 81–76 ✗
Nevada @ San Diego State +8.4 133.8 84% 67–69 ✓
Rice @ UTEP +8.2 147.9 78% 71–68 ✗
Oregon @ Utah -2.1 135.8 38% 79–73 ✓
Cal Poly @ Cal State Bakersfield +14.0 128.7 85% 50–65 ✓
Providence @ Xavier +5.0 148.2 71% 73–74 ✓
UMBC @ New Hampshire -1.9 131.3 45% 68–66 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ Winthrop +10.1 149.5 85% 83–91 ✓
UNC Asheville @ Hampton -1.6 144.3 38% 85–77 ✓
Hartford @ UMass Lowell +1.2 130.8 58% 75–58 ✗
Drexel @ Charleston -2.0 125.9 44% 68–73 ✗
South Carolina State @ Florida A&M +15.6 143.7 89% 68–70 ✓
Morgan State @ Norfolk State -1.5 138.9 44% 85–89 ✗
Illinois State @ Evansville +5.1 132.2 72% 73–68 ✗
Missouri State @ Valparaiso -5.9 142.9 30% 78–68 ✓
Marist @ Monmouth +7.1 143.2 78% 62–72 ✓
Vermont @ Binghamton -6.3 136.4 25% 84–44 ✓
Maine @ NJIT +6.6 127.0 71% 45–41 ✗
Minnesota @ Iowa +8.7 163.8 84% 71–86 ✓
Lehigh @ Navy +5.6 135.4 76% 58–73 ✓
Holy Cross @ Army +9.9 143.2 82% 70–61 ✗
Siena @ Fairfield -11.6 133.1 15% 75–68 ✓
Bradley @ Northern Iowa -1.5 136.2 51% 72–78 ✗
Radford @ Charleston Southern -8.0 129.8 21% 68–48 ✓
Cincinnati @ Wichita State +4.9 142.0 68% 76–82 ✓
Notre Dame @ Virginia Tech +10.3 141.4 86% 63–77 ✓
Indiana @ Nebraska -5.5 140.6 34% 84–76 ✓
Bucknell @ Lafayette +14.6 148.6 86% 76–87 ✓
Colgate @ Boston University -5.8 148.3 24% 89–45 ✓
Campbell @ Longwood +0.4 134.2 57% 69–78 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ Indiana State -5.1 134.4 31% 71–76 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.