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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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34–14 on winners spread MAE 9.7 48 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Miami @ Virginia Tech +3.4 148.9 66% 75–71 ✗
Missouri State @ Evansville +1.6 140.3 62% 74–64 ✗
Drexel @ Elon -6.9 140.5 29% 89–69 ✓
Saint Mary's @ Santa Clara -0.8 133.0 48% 73–49 ✓
Ball State @ Toledo +9.6 148.3 85% 72–77 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Chattanooga +2.0 139.2 62% 70–54 ✗
Bryant @ New Hampshire +3.1 153.5 69% 89–74 ✗
Weber State @ Portland State -4.0 141.7 35% 66–69 ✗
Eastern Washington @ Idaho -4.8 147.3 33% 79–58 ✓
Utah Valley @ UT Rio Grande Valley -4.0 142.9 29% 68–76 ✗
Cincinnati @ Baylor +6.8 148.9 73% 59–62 ✓
California @ Oregon +11.2 150.4 85% 73–80 ✓
Charlotte @ UTSA -5.4 146.6 26% 66–58 ✓
Drake @ Southern Illinois +2.6 138.7 64% 76–58 ✗
North Dakota State @ Omaha +5.0 144.2 72% 92–96 ✓
St. Thomas-Minnesota @ Oral Roberts -0.1 137.8 49% 87–76 ✓
Tarleton State @ Grand Canyon +12.5 139.3 87% 48–74 ✓
Abilene Christian @ California Baptist +4.3 136.6 70% 53–68 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Montana State +0.7 154.2 51% 81–90 ✓
Oklahoma State @ Iowa State +16.2 141.9 89% 42–66 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ North Alabama +2.0 147.3 61% 81–72 ✗
Alabama @ Mississippi State -0.8 150.5 45% 82–74 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ Southern Utah -2.5 153.0 39% 84–82 ✓
Pacific @ Loyola Marymount +12.8 140.3 87% 64–81 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Montana +11.2 143.8 87% 47–90 ✓
Idaho State @ Sacramento State +1.0 132.6 52% 64–66 ✓
San José State @ Air Force +1.2 134.6 54% 70–67 ✗
USC @ Colorado +7.3 151.6 77% 58–68 ✓
Pepperdine @ San Diego +2.0 146.6 63% 83–77 ✗
Portland @ San Francisco +18.4 143.5 91% 69–96 ✓
UC San Diego @ Cal Poly -9.0 134.2 18% 86–61 ✓
Long Beach State @ UC Santa Barbara +1.0 151.8 54% 76–85 ✓
UC Riverside @ Hawai'i +5.6 132.4 72% 56–63 ✓
Georgetown @ UConn +16.8 147.0 91% 67–80 ✓
UAB @ Florida Atlantic +15.2 154.5 89% 73–86 ✓
Rutgers @ Michigan State +11.0 133.4 86% 55–73 ✓
Memphis @ Wichita State -3.7 146.4 33% 112–86 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Iona +2.8 143.9 65% 70–87 ✓
Cleveland State @ Green Bay +2.0 139.2 64% 71–79 ✓
Maryland @ Illinois +12.8 140.0 87% 76–67 ✗
Saint Peter's @ Manhattan -8.2 125.8 20% 81–68 ✓
Rider @ Marist +4.1 132.6 68% 60–83 ✓
Tulane @ Tulsa -0.9 153.7 46% 94–87 ✓
Valparaiso @ Illinois State +5.8 135.0 74% 59–50 ✗
Liberty @ Louisiana Tech +4.4 133.9 68% 76–80 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Murray State +1.1 145.3 57% 70–60 ✗
Delaware @ UNC Wilmington +3.3 147.6 68% 74–79 ✓
Utah @ Stanford -4.9 154.4 32% 73–79 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.