Twenty-one years in captivity / His shoes too small to fit his feet "Nelson Mandela" - The Specials
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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8–7 on winners spread MAE 10.7 15 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Washington @ UCLA -6.1 137.8 27% 61–73 ✗
Ohio State @ Michigan -0.9 146.0 50% 65–73 ✗
Siena @ Niagara +11.4 143.0 87% 93–88 ✗
Fairfield @ Canisius +3.1 146.4 66% 88–63 ✗
Stonehill @ Wagner +8.0 130.8 80% 54–64 ✓
George Mason @ George Washington -1.3 147.5 46% 62–75 ✗
Pennsylvania @ Cornell +7.3 156.5 79% 60–77 ✓
Dartmouth @ Princeton +20.7 135.9 91% 58–76 ✓
Brown @ Harvard +5.5 141.8 72% 74–72 ✗
Villanova @ Marquette +5.4 138.3 71% 74–87 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Texas Southern +13.3 125.9 85% 61–93 ✓
Houston Christian @ Northwestern State +1.0 146.6 56% 64–69 ✓
La Salle @ Saint Joseph's +11.6 148.6 87% 62–82 ✓
Merrimack @ Central Connecticut +1.1 130.8 55% 70–75 ✓
Iowa @ Minnesota +0.6 155.6 52% 86–77 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.