And I'm telling you son, well, it ain't no fun staring straight down a forty-four. "Gimme Three Steps" - Lynyrd Skynyrd
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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37–17 on winners spread MAE 9.8 54 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Long Island University @ Miami +16.6 149.4 89% 49–97 ✓
Penn State @ Maryland +3.4 135.2 69% 75–81 ✓
Florida A&M @ Presbyterian +11.6 141.1 87% 65–60 ✗
Campbell @ Davidson +11.9 134.8 86% 50–62 ✓
Wofford @ Gardner-Webb +6.2 146.9 73% 81–66 ✗
Valparaiso @ Central Michigan +3.6 138.6 63% 67–71 ✓
Bryant @ Siena -8.9 130.9 18% 67–51 ✓
Robert Morris @ Canisius +12.2 143.6 85% 80–87 ✓
Vermont @ Northeastern +3.1 139.6 59% 73–71 ✗
Wagner @ Coppin State -3.4 123.1 32% 62–59 ✓
NJIT @ Fordham +16.4 141.6 89% 80–77 ✗
Youngstown State @ Ohio +5.8 147.0 73% 78–72 ✗
Ball State @ Detroit Mercy -1.4 131.6 38% 68–65 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ NC State +18.6 148.0 90% 61–93 ✓
Old Dominion @ William & Mary +1.8 149.1 55% 79–84 ✓
Duquesne @ Marshall -3.5 149.1 33% 85–72 ✓
Hofstra @ Iona -1.3 147.8 42% 62–57 ✓
Massachusetts @ Towson -4.0 134.4 32% 71–81 ✗
Sacred Heart @ St. John's +13.9 149.8 88% 50–85 ✓
Toledo @ Oakland +5.5 147.8 72% 69–68 ✗
Brown @ Rhode Island +6.2 142.6 71% 67–64 ✗
Miami (OH) @ Ohio State +17.4 144.7 90% 64–84 ✓
Maine @ Boston University +3.4 128.7 62% 74–65 ✗
American University @ Saint Joseph's +15.0 142.7 87% 53–69 ✓
Fairfield @ Yale +11.7 147.3 85% 75–71 ✗
Memphis @ VCU +2.6 137.6 56% 85–80 ✗
Jacksonville @ UCF +12.7 146.5 86% 52–94 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ Niagara -4.2 139.7 34% 94–60 ✓
New Hampshire @ Dartmouth -4.7 138.8 32% 64–76 ✗
Rice @ Houston +24.3 132.7 91% 39–75 ✓
Texas @ Marquette +12.2 145.3 84% 65–86 ✓
South Carolina @ Clemson +8.5 139.2 76% 67–72 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +8.0 144.3 76% 76–74 ✗
Milwaukee @ St. Thomas-Minnesota +11.9 137.0 86% 71–75 ✓
San Francisco @ Vanderbilt -6.6 134.7 24% 73–60 ✓
Saint Louis @ Drake +14.4 153.7 88% 69–75 ✓
Green Bay @ SIU Edwardsville +3.4 130.0 60% 69–78 ✓
Richmond @ Northern Iowa -2.0 145.3 41% 73–78 ✗
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Southern Indiana -8.0 143.0 21% 70–57 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Abilene Christian +5.1 134.9 67% 78–76 ✗
Omaha @ Texas Tech +11.8 143.1 84% 58–87 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Illinois State +3.6 133.5 67% 59–62 ✓
Lipscomb @ Belmont +4.3 155.2 69% 71–72 ✓
Denver @ Colorado State +18.1 157.2 90% 80–90 ✓
DePaul @ Texas A&M +16.9 146.8 90% 64–89 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ New Mexico +17.1 156.7 88% 61–84 ✓
Nebraska @ Minnesota +1.9 144.7 62% 65–76 ✓
San Diego @ Utah State +15.9 141.1 88% 81–108 ✓
UC Davis @ Nevada +18.6 141.1 90% 68–80 ✓
Pittsburgh @ West Virginia -3.3 136.3 37% 80–63 ✓
SMU @ Arizona State +3.5 134.3 67% 74–76 ✓
UC Riverside @ Washington State +16.5 139.1 88% 49–86 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ Pepperdine +6.6 139.4 74% 60–55 ✗
Utah Tech @ California Baptist +6.9 138.1 80% 72–69 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.