Don't talk to me about your big, big heroes "Kelly's Heroes" - Black Grape
← All models

Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
35–8 on winners spread MAE 10.5 43 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Providence @ Oklahoma +10.8 144.0 82% 51–72 ✓
Wisconsin @ Michigan State +3.2 132.1 63% 70–57 ✗
Stetson @ Charlotte +9.1 132.1 77% 62–85 ✓
UNC Asheville @ Kennesaw State +6.0 157.6 74% 76–79 ✓
Lafayette @ Columbia +11.6 134.8 87% 72–83 ✓
Bradley @ Akron +3.2 139.5 59% 52–67 ✓
Drexel @ Princeton +14.1 129.9 87% 70–81 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Liberty +23.9 137.5 91% 39–74 ✓
Western Carolina @ High Point +4.0 150.2 64% 71–97 ✓
Western Michigan @ Notre Dame +4.2 129.2 64% 65–86 ✓
Navy @ George Washington +11.8 138.9 86% 77–79 ✓
Merrimack @ Florida +11.6 148.9 84% 57–77 ✓
North Carolina Central @ Virginia +15.8 127.2 87% 47–77 ✓
Villanova @ Kansas State +3.9 146.8 67% 71–72 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ Stephen F. Austin +2.8 137.0 58% 56–49 ✗
Georgia Tech @ Georgia +4.2 140.6 67% 62–76 ✓
Missouri State @ Middle Tennessee -2.9 128.1 34% 73–77 ✗
Kansas City @ Kansas +17.5 144.5 90% 69–88 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Ole Miss +9.1 136.8 80% 68–77 ✓
Indiana State @ Northern Illinois +1.1 161.6 55% 90–67 ✗
Cornell @ Syracuse +2.5 155.8 58% 70–81 ✓
Weber State @ Utah Valley +1.4 125.5 51% 54–70 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ Tulsa +4.1 136.4 66% 77–88 ✓
Buffalo @ Butler +22.6 149.5 91% 59–72 ✓
North Carolina @ UConn +3.2 154.1 64% 76–87 ✓
Seton Hall @ Baylor +15.1 152.1 87% 60–78 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Gonzaga +22.6 164.5 91% 71–111 ✓
Evansville @ BYU +19.2 157.7 90% 55–96 ✓
San Diego State @ Grand Canyon +3.1 148.3 60% 73–79 ✓
North Texas @ Boise State +3.2 131.9 64% 64–69 ✓
Indiana @ Michigan +4.9 146.9 72% 78–75 ✗
Southern Utah @ Utah +15.6 151.3 88% 86–88 ✓
Oklahoma State @ Southern Illinois +9.9 140.3 82% 68–70 ✓
Pacific @ Idaho +8.1 140.0 77% 53–83 ✓
Kent State @ South Dakota State +3.1 146.9 62% 82–73 ✗
Cleveland State @ Saint Mary's +6.3 133.3 71% 57–70 ✓
Idaho State @ Fresno State +1.0 135.9 52% 67–79 ✓
Montana State @ Washington +14.3 143.4 87% 61–85 ✓
South Alabama @ Mercer +5.2 143.1 69% 83–62 ✗
UMBC @ Morgan State -1.3 157.7 40% 80–92 ✗
Rutgers @ Wake Forest +2.2 136.0 56% 57–76 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ La Salle +8.3 146.3 78% 61–62 ✓
Stonehill @ Stony Brook +9.5 141.1 84% 63–81 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.