Betting Lines
| Spread | Pick'em Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | HPU -115 WCU -105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HPU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HPU +26 | 168 | Won |
| Massey | HPU -3.2 (+22.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.6 (+9.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HPU -2.1 (+23.9) | 149.2 (+18.8) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HPU -4.0 (+22.0) | 150.2 (+17.8) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HPU -3.9 (+22.1) | 152.5 (+15.5) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HPU -3.7 (+22.3) | 151.3 (+16.7) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 29, 2025 | HPU 93 – 73 WCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HPU | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-9 | 22-10 |
| Conference | 13-3 | 11-7 |
| Home | 16-1 | 12-3 |
| Away | 7-5 | 10-6 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 82.1 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 69.8 |
| Massey | 2.4 (#130) | 5.0 (#93) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.44 (#148) | 1.92 (#49) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.88 (#132) | 2.09 (#70) |
| RPI | 0.469 (#225) | 0.577 (#72) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HPU | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 41.7 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 14.5% |
| ORB% | 37.1% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 36.2% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.6% | 11.9% |
| DRB% | 77.5% | 77.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.5% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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