Betting Lines
| Spread | UTAH -22.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.0 Over |
| Money | UTAH -10000 SUU +2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTAH +2 | 174 | Won |
| Massey | UTAH -20.4 (-18.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.3 (+14.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTAH -13.6 (-11.6) | 152.6 (+21.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTAH -15.6 (-13.6) | 151.3 (+22.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTAH -15.8 (-13.8) | 151.3 (+22.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTAH -16.7 (-14.7) | 151.2 (+22.8) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-15 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 5-15 |
| Home | 17-2 | 6-8 |
| Away | 2-9 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 77.8 |
| Massey | 11.8 (#28) | -2.8 (#229) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.46 (#71) | -0.66 (#242) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.92 (#76) | -0.34 (#208) |
| RPI | 0.598 (#54) | 0.458 (#243) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 38.8% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 39.9 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.34 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.3% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.9% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 75.7% | 63.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.1% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.