Betting Lines
| Spread | Pick'em Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | SIU -105 OKST -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIU +2 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | SIU -11.1 (-9.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.0 (+2.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIU -11.2 (-9.2) | 140.6 (-2.6) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIU -10.8 (-8.8) | 140.5 (-2.5) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIU -9.9 (-7.9) | 140.3 (-2.3) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIU -8.0 (-6.0) | 139.1 (-1.1) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 15, 2024 | OKST 85 – 78 SIU |
| Nov 11, 2022 | SIU 61 – 60 OKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIU | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 4-14 |
| Home | 13-5 | 10-8 |
| Away | 5-6 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.2 | 71.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.6 | 72.7 |
| Massey | 6.7 (#69) | 1.3 (#149) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.01 (#90) | -1.60 (#299) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.64 (#89) | -1.72 (#277) |
| RPI | 0.560 (#90) | 0.407 (#301) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIU | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 39.1% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 1.44 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.1% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 30.1% | 18.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.7% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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