Betting Lines
| Spread | OKST -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Over |
| Money | OKST -900 SIU +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OKST +7 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | OKST -17.6 (-10.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.3 (+6.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OKST -19.0 (-12.0) | 151.8 (+11.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OKST -18.0 (-11.0) | 150.5 (+12.5) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OKST -13.1 (-6.1) | 153.5 (+9.5) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2023 | SIU 70 – 68 OKST |
| Nov 11, 2022 | SIU 61 – 60 OKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OKST | SIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-18 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 8-12 |
| Home | 13-4 | 7-7 |
| Away | 3-10 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.0 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 75.5 |
| Massey | 4.9 (#85) | -3.6 (#249) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.10 (#20) | -0.98 (#282) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.87 (#12) | -1.40 (#283) |
| RPI | 0.781 (#16) | 0.625 (#69) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OKST | SIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 40.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 23.8% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 27.0 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 44.4% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 11.6% |
| ORB% | 36.4% | 23.1% |
| FT Rate | 31.8% | 40.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.1% | 64.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.8% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 80.0% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.9% | 34.5% |
Game Analysis
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