Betting Lines
| Spread | OKST -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | OKST -400 SIU +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIU +1 | 121 | Lost |
| Massey | OKST -8.4 (-9.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.5 (-26.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OKST -6.9 (-7.9) | 145.3 (-24.3) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OKST -5.5 (-6.5) | 146.7 (-25.7) | 67% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 15, 2024 | OKST 85 – 78 SIU |
| Dec 6, 2023 | SIU 70 – 68 OKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OKST | SIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-16 | 23-10 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 14-6 |
| Home | 12-6 | 13-2 |
| Away | 6-7 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.3 | 65.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 61.7 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#180) | 5.3 (#48) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.36 (#111) | 0.36 (#50) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.49 (#107) | 0.56 (#49) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OKST | SIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 58.2% |
| 3PT% | 24.0% | 42.9% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 48.0 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 69.1% |
| TOV% | 22.4% | 25.2% |
| ORB% | 36.8% | 46.4% |
| FT Rate | 31.7% | 32.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 39.0% | 43.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.7% | 10.1% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 77.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.9% | 12.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.