Betting Lines
| Spread | WEB -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
| Money | UVU +140 WEB -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVU +16 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | WEB -1.2 (+17.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 122.0 (+2.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVU -2.3 (+13.7) | 126.5 (-2.5) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVU -1.4 (+14.6) | 125.5 (-1.5) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVU -1.0 (+15.0) | 125.2 (-1.2) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVU -1.1 (+14.9) | 126.6 (-2.6) | 56% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 18, 2025 | UVU 90 – 74 WEB |
| Dec 22, 2024 | UVU 64 – 62 WEB |
| Jan 2, 2021 | WEB 70 – 62 UVU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVU | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 11-7 |
| Home | 10-4 | 12-2 |
| Away | 5-10 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 69.5 |
| Massey | -1.7 (#212) | 5.2 (#87) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.00 (#92) | 0.43 (#152) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.99 (#122) | 1.77 (#81) |
| RPI | 0.546 (#107) | 0.466 (#230) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVU | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 38.9% |
| 3PT% | 23.1% | 28.7% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 28.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 6.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.6% | 45.0% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 14.3% |
| ORB% | 24.2% | 18.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 31.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.2% | 14.2% |
Game Analysis
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