Betting Lines
| Spread | CLT -8.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | CLT -400 STET +310 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLT +23 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | CLT -11.9 (+11.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.9 (+18.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLT -9.1 (+13.9) | 132.0 (+15.0) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLT -9.1 (+13.9) | 132.1 (+14.9) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLT -9.2 (+13.8) | 131.4 (+15.6) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLT -10.3 (+12.7) | 131.2 (+15.8) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 30, 2023 | STET 79 – 75 CLT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLT | STET |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-12 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 11-5 |
| Home | 13-2 | 14-2 |
| Away | 5-7 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.0 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.3 | 75.6 |
| Massey | 3.1 (#116) | -3.0 (#231) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.52 (#141) | 0.18 (#174) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.89 (#130) | -1.34 (#262) |
| RPI | 0.556 (#95) | 0.531 (#127) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLT | STET |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 6.0 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 22.3% |
| ORB% | 20.4% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 16.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.3% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 14.2% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 61.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
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