Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -24.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | BYU -7000 EVAN +1800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BYU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +41 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | BYU -24.0 (+17.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.3 (-8.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -23.3 (+17.7) | 157.1 (-6.1) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -19.2 (+21.8) | 157.7 (-6.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -20.9 (+20.1) | 155.2 (-4.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -22.7 (+18.3) | 156.0 (-5.0) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BYU | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 17-18 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 6-14 |
| Home | 16-2 | 10-5 |
| Away | 3-7 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.4 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 74.0 |
| Massey | 22.0 (#2) | 3.8 (#109) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.84 (#5) | 1.78 (#54) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.88 (#3) | 1.99 (#73) |
| RPI | 0.612 (#42) | 0.604 (#47) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BYU | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.9% | 48.5% |
| 3PT% | 38.5% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 45.4 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 14.3 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.99 | 1.44 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.4% | 54.3% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 39.1% | 22.6% |
| FT Rate | 18.6% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.3% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 81.6% | 77.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.3% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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