Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -26.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +19 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | KU -24.6 (-5.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.0 (+12.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -21.3 (-2.3) | 143.4 (+13.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -17.5 (+1.5) | 144.5 (+12.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -18.5 (+0.5) | 143.1 (+13.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -18.7 (+0.3) | 141.3 (+15.7) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | KC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 10-6 |
| Home | 15-1 | 10-3 |
| Away | 3-7 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 71.4 |
| Massey | 13.9 (#16) | -5.0 (#263) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.02 (#17) | -3.33 (#353) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.54 (#16) | -5.01 (#353) |
| RPI | 0.657 (#12) | 0.425 (#286) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | KC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.6% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 41.1% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 38.6 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.72 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.1% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 34.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 18.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.3% | 56.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 74.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.7% | 35.8% |
Game Analysis
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