Betting Lines
| Spread | COLU -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Over |
| Money | COLU -305 LAF +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLU +11 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | COLU -15.0 (-4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.8 (+25.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLU -9.0 (+2.0) | 136.5 (+18.5) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLU -11.6 (-0.6) | 134.8 (+20.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLU -12.1 (-1.1) | 134.3 (+20.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLU -12.0 (-1.0) | 136.2 (+18.8) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 13, 2022 | COLU 57 – 45 LAF |
| Nov 30, 2021 | LAF 73 – 50 COLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLU | LAF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-14 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 4-10 | 10-8 |
| Home | 9-6 | 5-10 |
| Away | 4-8 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L6 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.6 | 62.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 67.8 |
| Massey | 0.1 (#168) | -9.2 (#324) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.49 (#143) | -2.82 (#341) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.89 (#131) | -3.95 (#339) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#157) | 0.386 (#328) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLU | LAF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 37.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 28.7% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 44.0% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 25.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.5% | 14.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 28.3% |
Game Analysis
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