Betting Lines
| O/U | 138.0 Under |
| Money | COLU +110 LAF -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAF +23 | 123 | Lost |
| Massey | COLU -10.3 (-33.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.5 (-23.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 30% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLU -4.1 (-27.1) | 143.4 (-20.4) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLU -4.9 (-27.9) | 145.4 (-22.4) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | COLU -5.0 (-28.0) | 146.4 (-23.4) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLU -4.7 (-27.7) | 147.9 (-24.9) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2023 | COLU 83 – 72 LAF |
| Dec 13, 2022 | COLU 57 – 45 LAF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLU | LAF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-22 | 10-20 |
| Conference | 1-13 | 7-11 |
| Home | 3-10 | 6-9 |
| Away | 1-12 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L12 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.6 | 67.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.5 | 73.1 |
| Massey | -5.5 (#278) | -9.4 (#326) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.61 (#337) | -0.46 (#219) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.04 (#335) | -1.09 (#235) |
| RPI | 0.310 (#352) | 0.504 (#173) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLU | LAF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 37.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 45.5% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 21.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 10.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 13.5% |
| DRB% | 66.5% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 16.8% |
Game Analysis
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