Betting Lines
| Spread | LAF -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | LAF -350 COLU +333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLU +12 | 102 | Lost |
| Massey | LAF -14.9 (-26.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.5 (-22.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAF -9.3 (-21.3) | 130.7 (-28.7) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAF -10.2 (-22.2) | 128.8 (-26.8) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LAF -10.7 (-22.7) | 128.6 (-26.6) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAF -9.8 (-21.8) | 125.9 (-23.9) | 77% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2023 | COLU 83 – 72 LAF |
| Nov 30, 2021 | LAF 73 – 50 COLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAF | COLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-23 | 7-22 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 2-12 |
| Home | 5-7 | 6-9 |
| Away | 5-16 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.4 | 65.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.6 | 77.3 |
| Massey | -2.4 (#223) | -12.1 (#343) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.41 (#333) | -2.90 (#349) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.85 (#326) | -3.77 (#342) |
| RPI | 0.438 (#270) | 0.348 (#356) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAF | COLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.1% | 39.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 30.4 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 0.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 45.4% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 22.6% |
| ORB% | 22.8% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 15.4% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 66.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 17.1% |
Game Analysis
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