Betting Lines
| Spread | GW -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.0 Over |
| Money | GW -650 NAVY +460 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GW +2 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | GW -17.1 (-15.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.7 (+17.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GW -9.2 (-7.2) | 140.2 (+15.8) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GW -11.8 (-9.8) | 138.9 (+17.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GW -11.9 (-9.9) | 139.3 (+16.7) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GW -11.4 (-9.4) | 141.0 (+15.0) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 25, 2020 | NAVY 78 – 71 GW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GW | NAVY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 8-10 |
| Home | 12-6 | 10-5 |
| Away | 1-9 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.4 | 65.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 67.8 |
| Massey | 6.0 (#84) | -5.4 (#270) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.98 (#47) | -2.47 (#327) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.97 (#39) | -3.41 (#328) |
| RPI | 0.628 (#30) | 0.332 (#358) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GW | NAVY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 37.4% |
| 3PT% | 38.3% | 23.5% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 41.9% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 23.1% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 46.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 24.0% |
| DRB% | 75.1% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 12.6% | 27.7% |
Game Analysis
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