Hop in my Chrysler, it's as big as a whale and it's about to set sail. "Love Shack" - The B-52's
Frost Arena · December 6, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread SDST -1.5 Away covered
O/U 148.0 Over
Money SDST -125 / KENT +105
Model Predictions
Spread Total SDST win
Actual KENT +9 155 Lost
Massey SDST -3.1 (-12.1) — —
Massey Totals — 155.2 (-0.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 80% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 85% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SDST -1.7 (-10.7) 145.6 (+9.4) 48% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML SDST -3.1 (-12.1) 146.9 (+8.1) 62% ✗
Baseline ML SDST -2.9 (-11.9) 148.3 (+6.7) 59% ✗
Baseline Plus ML SDST -3.2 (-12.2) 149.2 (+5.8) 50% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 3, 2022 KENT 83 – 68 SDST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SDST KENT
Overall 22-13 17-17
Conference 12-4 8-10
Home 11-3 9-6
Away 6-5 4-9
Neutral 5-5 4-2
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 75.2 73.8
Avg Pts Against 72.0 72.0
Massey 0.1 (#167) 2.8 (#126)
Bradley-Terry -0.36 (#215) -0.45 (#226)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.26 (#204) -0.47 (#215)
RPI 0.490 (#189) 0.501 (#177)
Shooting & Four Factors SDST KENT
FG% 45.2% 44.6%
3PT% 38.8% 34.5%
REB / G 35.0 36.3
OREB / G 10.3 11.3
AST / TO 1.03 1.06
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.8% 51.2%
TOV% 18.5% 17.3%
ORB% 29.7% 31.3%
FT Rate 16.9% 30.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.4% 51.6%
Opp TOV% 17.0% 22.3%
DRB% 68.2% 69.4%
Opp FT Rate 22.3% 26.8%

Game Analysis

Loading game analysis…

Failed to load game analysis.