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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
4–1 on winners
spread MAE 10.4
5 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Eastern Kentucky
@
UNC Greensboro
|
+14.8 | 141.6 | 87% | 85–87 | ✓ |
Iowa
@
Iowa State
|
+10.9 | 155.6 | 79% | 65–90 | ✓ |
Little Rock
@
Central Arkansas
|
-8.9 | 158.1 | 19% | 71–75 | ✗ |
IU Indianapolis
@
Eastern Illinois
|
+10.1 | 133.0 | 82% | 58–75 | ✓ |
Portland
@
North Dakota State
|
+5.9 | 149.7 | 73% | 67–78 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.