Tire tracks all across your back - I can see you've had your fun. "Crosstown Traffic"- Jimi Hendrix
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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35–13 on winners spread MAE 8.8 48 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Houston @ UCF -6.5 133.8 21% 82–71 ✓
Georgia @ Tennessee +15.7 131.7 89% 41–70 ✓
West Virginia @ Texas Tech +0.8 142.3 54% 76–61 ✗
South Florida @ Temple +4.8 141.0 71% 76–79 ✓
Lehigh @ Holy Cross -2.0 136.6 37% 74–68 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Lafayette +7.7 126.3 76% 46–62 ✓
Army @ American University +3.4 140.0 66% 61–63 ✓
Wake Forest @ Pittsburgh +3.0 148.7 63% 79–81 ✓
Vermont @ Binghamton -5.3 135.3 31% 80–55 ✓
UMass Lowell @ Maine -4.4 145.9 31% 70–75 ✗
UMBC @ NJIT -4.3 149.2 30% 65–69 ✗
Navy @ Bucknell -0.4 138.8 48% 63–46 ✓
Wisconsin @ Maryland +4.7 128.3 66% 55–73 ✓
Northwestern @ Nebraska -2.1 132.4 43% 78–63 ✓
South Carolina @ Florida +15.3 135.5 90% 60–81 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ George Washington +4.0 150.8 70% 91–92 ✓
Richmond @ Massachusetts +1.3 137.8 57% 76–85 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ Duquesne +9.7 143.2 85% 58–72 ✓
George Mason @ VCU +7.4 138.1 76% 52–72 ✓
Fordham @ St. Bonaventure +1.3 135.0 59% 79–68 ✗
Dayton @ Rhode Island -7.3 131.7 23% 70–75 ✗
South Carolina Upstate @ Gardner-Webb +6.0 129.9 73% 66–78 ✓
Charleston Southern @ Winthrop +1.3 149.9 59% 64–76 ✓
Campbell @ High Point +0.2 144.8 51% 72–64 ✗
The Citadel @ Western Carolina +5.2 140.8 74% 81–70 ✗
Wofford @ Chattanooga +4.5 149.9 71% 85–80 ✗
VMI @ UNC Greensboro +13.1 134.5 87% 50–62 ✓
East Tennessee State @ Mercer +2.1 135.1 61% 67–71 ✓
Samford @ Furman +4.8 151.0 71% 84–91 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Purdue Fort Wayne +14.4 142.9 90% 75–81 ✓
Stonehill @ Hartford -7.3 133.8 19% 56–73 ✗
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Stephen F. Austin +9.9 155.2 85% 66–83 ✓
Valparaiso @ Northern Iowa +7.3 138.0 79% 66–77 ✓
Belmont @ Evansville -12.2 146.5 14% 73–64 ✓
Illinois State @ Bradley +12.7 134.3 87% 75–79 ✓
California Baptist @ UT Arlington -4.3 133.7 32% 74–66 ✓
Butler @ Providence +8.4 141.3 81% 58–79 ✓
Mississippi State @ Alabama +13.2 141.3 88% 63–66 ✓
Texas A&M @ Auburn +6.5 137.1 75% 79–63 ✗
Tulane @ Wichita State +0.5 145.4 54% 95–90 ✗
Louisville @ Boston College +9.0 139.7 82% 65–75 ✓
St. John's @ Creighton +9.0 152.2 81% 76–104 ✓
Indiana @ Minnesota -11.2 135.9 16% 61–57 ✓
Chicago State @ Stanford +12.3 137.7 86% 65–72 ✓
Utah State @ San Diego State +4.1 148.1 71% 75–85 ✓
St. Francis Brooklyn @ Wagner +8.7 130.7 81% 65–56 ✗
Georgia State @ App State +4.1 131.5 70% 59–71 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Bellarmine -1.1 134.9 47% 71–72 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.