Betting Lines
| Spread | UTC -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | UTC -120 WOF +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WOF +5 | 165 | Lost |
| Massey | UTC -7.1 (-12.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.8 (+16.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTC -4.3 (-9.3) | 149.6 (+15.4) | 70% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTC -6.4 (-11.4) | 146.8 (+18.2) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTC -4.5 (-9.5) | 149.9 (+15.1) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTC -4.5 (-9.5) | 150.9 (+14.1) | 70% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | WOF 81 – 55 UTC |
| Jan 14, 2026 | UTC 76 – 67 WOF |
| Feb 6, 2025 | UTC 79 – 70 WOF |
| Jan 16, 2025 | UTC 83 – 81 WOF |
| Mar 9, 2024 | UTC 75 – 57 WOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTC | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-17 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 8-10 |
| Home | 9-7 | 12-4 |
| Away | 6-9 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 74.0 |
| Massey | 0.7 (#153) | -2.8 (#226) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.33 (#210) | -0.67 (#245) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.30 (#203) | -1.01 (#256) |
| RPI | 0.495 (#185) | 0.456 (#262) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTC | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 54.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 16.4% |
Game Analysis
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