Betting Lines
| Spread | CREI -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | CREI -600 SJU +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CREI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CREI +28 | 180 | Won |
| Massey | CREI -10.1 (+17.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.0 (+26.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CREI -9.1 (+18.9) | 155.4 (+24.6) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CREI -9.7 (+18.3) | 156.7 (+23.3) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CREI -9.0 (+19.0) | 152.2 (+27.8) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CREI -9.4 (+18.6) | 153.0 (+27.0) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | SJU 81 – 52 CREI |
| Jan 10, 2026 | SJU 90 – 73 CREI |
| Mar 15, 2025 | SJU 82 – 66 CREI |
| Feb 16, 2025 | SJU 79 – 73 CREI |
| Dec 31, 2024 | CREI 57 – 56 SJU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CREI | SJU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-13 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 7-13 |
| Home | 13-2 | 11-6 |
| Away | 5-6 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 6-5 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.4 | 77.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 75.2 |
| Massey | 14.0 (#17) | 7.4 (#78) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.55 (#55) | 1.31 (#71) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.22 (#49) | 1.76 (#66) |
| RPI | 0.582 (#48) | 0.536 (#107) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CREI | SJU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 39.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 33.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 18.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 76.5% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.1% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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