Betting Lines
| Spread | BEL -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | EVAN +550 BEL -1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EVAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BEL +9 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | BEL -12.3 (+3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.3 (-10.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BEL -12.2 (+3.2) | 146.3 (-9.3) | 14% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BEL -12.8 (+3.8) | 145.6 (-8.6) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BEL -12.2 (+3.2) | 146.5 (-9.5) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BEL -12.0 (+3.0) | 147.9 (-10.9) | 14% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | BEL 98 – 64 EVAN |
| Dec 17, 2025 | BEL 83 – 78 EVAN |
| Feb 2, 2025 | EVAN 80 – 75 BEL |
| Jan 18, 2025 | BEL 85 – 82 EVAN |
| Mar 3, 2024 | BEL 83 – 66 EVAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EVAN | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-27 | 21-11 |
| Conference | 1-19 | 14-6 |
| Home | 3-10 | 12-2 |
| Away | 1-14 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.4 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.0 | 72.5 |
| Massey | -12.7 (#347) | 3.2 (#122) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.82 (#327) | 0.93 (#94) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.33 (#330) | 0.76 (#121) |
| RPI | 0.407 (#330) | 0.573 (#60) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EVAN | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.8% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 40.6% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 31.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.2% | 55.1% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 21.9% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 18.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.8% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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