Betting Lines
| Spread | BRAD -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | BRAD -1200 ILST +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRAD +4 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | BRAD -16.7 (-12.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.4 (+27.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRAD -13.8 (-9.8) | 135.0 (+19.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRAD -13.6 (-9.6) | 131.6 (+22.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRAD -12.7 (-8.7) | 134.3 (+19.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRAD -13.5 (-9.5) | 135.5 (+18.5) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | BRAD 74 – 60 ILST |
| Jan 17, 2026 | ILST 88 – 62 BRAD |
| Feb 20, 2025 | ILST 82 – 71 BRAD |
| Jan 25, 2025 | BRAD 61 – 57 ILST |
| Feb 25, 2024 | BRAD 48 – 45 ILST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRAD | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 16-4 | 6-14 |
| Home | 15-1 | 8-7 |
| Away | 8-6 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.0 | 66.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.8 | 70.5 |
| Massey | 7.7 (#73) | -5.5 (#259) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.73 (#109) | -0.93 (#272) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.91 (#111) | -1.24 (#273) |
| RPI | 0.542 (#100) | 0.439 (#289) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRAD | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 22.0% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 17.5% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.7% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 76.6% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.