Betting Lines
| Spread | WCU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | WCU -300 CIT +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CIT +11 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | WCU -8.1 (-19.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.7 (+9.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WCU -5.4 (-16.4) | 142.5 (+8.5) | 76% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WCU -4.7 (-15.7) | 142.2 (+8.8) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WCU -5.2 (-16.2) | 140.8 (+10.2) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WCU -5.1 (-16.1) | 140.3 (+10.7) | 76% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2026 | WCU 87 – 49 CIT |
| Jan 10, 2026 | CIT 79 – 77 WCU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | WCU 76 – 73 CIT |
| Jan 25, 2025 | WCU 80 – 78 CIT |
| Feb 8, 2024 | WCU 71 – 64 CIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WCU | CIT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 5-13 |
| Home | 9-5 | 5-9 |
| Away | 6-9 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 74.5 |
| Massey | -4.3 (#244) | -8.8 (#320) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.74 (#253) | -1.19 (#286) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.96 (#246) | -1.57 (#290) |
| RPI | 0.461 (#255) | 0.447 (#276) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WCU | CIT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 20.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 74.8% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
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