Betting Lines
| Spread | AMER -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | AMER -138 ARMY +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AMER win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMER +2 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | AMER -5.0 (-3.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.7 (-16.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMER -3.9 (-1.9) | 138.1 (-14.1) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMER -2.3 (-0.3) | 134.6 (-10.6) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AMER -3.4 (-1.4) | 140.0 (-16.0) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AMER -3.3 (-1.3) | 140.6 (-16.6) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | AMER 75 – 63 ARMY |
| Jan 18, 2026 | AMER 78 – 67 ARMY |
| Feb 19, 2025 | ARMY 76 – 69 AMER |
| Feb 1, 2025 | AMER 71 – 68 ARMY |
| Feb 28, 2024 | AMER 73 – 51 ARMY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AMER | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 10-8 |
| Home | 8-6 | 10-5 |
| Away | 9-9 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.4 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.9 | 71.0 |
| Massey | -1.8 (#209) | -3.2 (#232) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.22 (#194) | -1.02 (#280) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.40 (#209) | -1.09 (#267) |
| RPI | 0.482 (#211) | 0.444 (#282) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AMER | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.8% | 48.8% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 37.2% |
| REB / G | 30.3 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 7.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.1% | 55.9% |
| TOV% | 22.1% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 23.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 75.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.