Betting Lines
| Spread | LEH -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | HC +140 LEH -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LEH +6 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | LEH -0.9 (-5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.1 (+3.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LEH -1.1 (-4.9) | 137.1 (+4.9) | 35% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LEH -1.1 (-4.9) | 136.6 (+5.4) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LEH -2.0 (-4.0) | 136.6 (+5.4) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LEH -1.4 (-4.6) | 137.5 (+4.5) | 33% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | LEH 69 – 66 HC |
| Feb 7, 2026 | HC 76 – 67 LEH |
| Jan 7, 2026 | LEH 66 – 58 HC |
| Feb 15, 2025 | LEH 72 – 60 HC |
| Feb 1, 2025 | LEH 69 – 67 HC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HC | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 16-14 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 11-7 |
| Home | 6-9 | 9-6 |
| Away | 4-11 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L4 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.2 | 68.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.1 | 71.0 |
| Massey | -10.1 (#331) | -5.6 (#267) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.83 (#329) | -0.26 (#201) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.13 (#322) | -0.46 (#214) |
| RPI | 0.416 (#320) | 0.495 (#184) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HC | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 38.8% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 6.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 21.7% | 19.3% |
| FT Rate | 16.0% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 17.7% |
Game Analysis
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