So let the words of our mouth and the meditation of our heart be acceptable in thy sight, O Fari! "By the RIvers of Babylon"-The Melodians
Western Athletic Conference · College Park Center · January 26, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread CBU -4.5 Away covered
O/U 130.5 Over
Money UTA +163 / CBU -163
Model Predictions
Spread Total UTA win
Actual CBU +8 140 Lost
Massey CBU -4.4 (-3.6) — —
Massey Totals — 124.6 (+15.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 37% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 31% ✓
Baseline Plus ML CBU -4.0 (-4.0) 132.7 (+7.3) 32% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CBU -4.3 (-3.7) 131.4 (+8.6) 33% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML CBU -4.3 (-3.7) 133.7 (+6.3) 32% ✓
Baseline ML CBU -3.7 (-4.3) 134.5 (+5.5) 32% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 27, 2026 CBU 68 – 56 UTA
Jan 31, 2026 CBU 87 – 77 UTA
Jan 1, 2026 UTA 63 – 51 CBU
Mar 9, 2025 CBU 70 – 68 UTA
Feb 13, 2025 UTA 82 – 79 CBU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UTA CBU
Overall 11-21 17-16
Conference 6-12 8-10
Home 6-8 13-5
Away 4-9 4-8
Neutral 1-4 1-3
Last 5 2-3 4-1
Streak L3 L1
Avg Pts For 62.9 66.8
Avg Pts Against 70.0 65.9
Massey -6.0 (#275) 1.9 (#134)
Bradley-Terry -0.99 (#277) 0.15 (#159)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.17 (#272) 0.36 (#144)
RPI 0.451 (#272) 0.483 (#210)
Shooting & Four Factors UTA CBU
FG% 38.1% 41.9%
3PT% 29.6% 33.3%
REB / G 34.6 37.5
OREB / G 12.9 11.0
AST / TO 0.81 1.10
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 43.0% 49.4%
TOV% 21.0% 18.2%
ORB% 34.9% 30.5%
FT Rate 22.5% 19.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.4% 46.4%
Opp TOV% 20.1% 16.5%
DRB% 69.3% 74.9%
Opp FT Rate 25.7% 20.4%

Game Analysis

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