Betting Lines
| Spread | STO -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | HART +320 STO -300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HART win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HART +17 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | STO -8.6 (+25.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.4 (-5.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 13% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 10% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STO -7.3 (+24.3) | 133.8 (-4.8) | 19% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STO -7.4 (+24.4) | 131.4 (-2.4) | 24% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STO -6.6 (+23.6) | 129.4 (-0.4) | 21% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | STO -7.0 (+24.0) | 132.7 (-3.7) | 18% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 17, 2023 | STO 71 – 44 HART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HART | STO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-23 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 0-0 | 10-6 |
| Home | 5-10 | 7-4 |
| Away | 0-11 | 6-12 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L6 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 59.7 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.8 | 70.4 |
| Massey | -20.6 (#362) | -8.4 (#315) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.76 (#361) | -1.25 (#289) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.61 (#360) | -1.72 (#298) |
| RPI | 0.345 (#362) | 0.459 (#256) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HART | STO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.3% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 29.9 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 5.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 23.9% | 17.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.9% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 66.8% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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