Betting Lines
| Spread | EKU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | BELL +110 EKU -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BELL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BELL +1 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | EKU -0.6 (+1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.9 (+11.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EKU -0.6 (+1.6) | 133.6 (+9.4) | 42% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EKU -1.5 (+2.5) | 133.4 (+9.6) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EKU -1.1 (+2.1) | 134.9 (+8.1) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | EKU -0.9 (+1.9) | 136.4 (+6.6) | 41% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | EKU 95 – 92 BELL |
| Jan 18, 2026 | EKU 89 – 69 BELL |
| Feb 20, 2025 | BELL 80 – 74 EKU |
| Jan 19, 2025 | EKU 72 – 69 BELL |
| Feb 18, 2024 | EKU 75 – 65 BELL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BELL | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 23-14 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 12-6 |
| Home | 8-6 | 14-2 |
| Away | 6-12 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.5 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 73.7 |
| Massey | -5.0 (#254) | -0.9 (#192) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.72 (#248) | 0.44 (#135) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.79 (#234) | 0.18 (#160) |
| RPI | 0.476 (#218) | 0.547 (#90) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BELL | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 27.6 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 6.0 | 13.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 20.5% | 33.2% |
| FT Rate | 18.6% | 15.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
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