Betting Lines
| Spread | TEM -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | TEM -200 USF +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEM +3 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | TEM -5.1 (-2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.1 (+15.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEM -4.7 (-1.7) | 141.2 (+13.8) | 69% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | TEM -4.2 (-1.2) | 141.0 (+14.0) | 71% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | TEM -4.8 (-1.8) | 141.0 (+14.0) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEM -4.9 (-1.9) | 141.4 (+13.6) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | TEM 79 – 78 USF |
| Feb 27, 2025 | TEM 73 – 71 USF |
| Feb 7, 2025 | USF 100 – 91 TEM |
| Jan 25, 2024 | USF 75 – 69 TEM |
| Jan 5, 2024 | USF 76 – 68 TEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEM | USF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 7-11 |
| Home | 9-7 | 9-9 |
| Away | 5-6 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 72.0 |
| Massey | 3.1 (#123) | 1.6 (#141) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.56 (#123) | -0.45 (#222) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.56 (#130) | -0.08 (#184) |
| RPI | 0.545 (#93) | 0.487 (#203) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEM | USF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 33.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.9% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 28.8% |
Game Analysis
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