Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -16.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | TENN -2000 UGA +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +29 | 111 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -20.7 (+8.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.9 (-16.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -17.1 (+11.9) | 132.6 (-21.6) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -19.2 (+9.8) | 131.5 (-20.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -15.7 (+13.3) | 131.7 (-20.7) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -17.3 (+11.7) | 132.9 (-21.9) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | TENN 86 – 85 UGA |
| Jan 16, 2025 | TENN 74 – 56 UGA |
| Jan 13, 2024 | TENN 85 – 79 UGA |
| Mar 1, 2022 | TENN 75 – 68 UGA |
| Feb 11, 2021 | TENN 89 – 81 UGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-11 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 6-12 |
| Home | 14-2 | 13-4 |
| Away | 4-6 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 7-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 57.9 | 71.5 |
| Massey | 21.5 (#2) | 4.3 (#108) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.84 (#15) | 0.99 (#87) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.37 (#16) | 1.43 (#84) |
| RPI | 0.631 (#11) | 0.532 (#115) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 39.6 | 38.7 |
| OREB / G | 13.6 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 39.0% | 34.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 28.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 38.8% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.9% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 18.1% |
Game Analysis
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