Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | TENN -1000 UGA +850 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +8 | 170 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -14.2 (-6.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.3 (+26.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -10.7 (-2.7) | 142.8 (+27.2) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -11.6 (-3.6) | 142.5 (+27.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -11.6 (-3.6) | 142.3 (+27.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -12.7 (-4.7) | 143.2 (+26.8) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | TENN 86 – 85 UGA |
| Jan 16, 2025 | TENN 74 – 56 UGA |
| Jan 13, 2024 | TENN 85 – 79 UGA |
| Jan 26, 2023 | TENN 70 – 41 UGA |
| Mar 1, 2022 | TENN 75 – 68 UGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-9 | 14-12 |
| Conference | 10-7 | 7-11 |
| Home | 13-3 | 12-5 |
| Away | 4-4 | 2-6 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 77.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.5 | 78.6 |
| Massey | 16.7 (#10) | 5.0 (#103) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.56 (#21) | 1.25 (#76) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.35 (#22) | 1.46 (#88) |
| RPI | 0.580 (#51) | 0.521 (#135) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 22.5% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 35.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.9% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.8% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.4% | 22.2% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 65.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
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