Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | TENN -800 UGA +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +18 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -10.5 (+7.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.8 (-0.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -10.9 (+7.1) | 132.8 (-2.8) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -10.8 (+7.2) | 130.5 (-0.5) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -9.2 (+8.8) | 130.6 (-0.6) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -10.4 (+7.6) | 131.5 (-1.5) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | TENN 86 – 85 UGA |
| Jan 13, 2024 | TENN 85 – 79 UGA |
| Jan 26, 2023 | TENN 70 – 41 UGA |
| Mar 1, 2022 | TENN 75 – 68 UGA |
| Feb 11, 2021 | TENN 89 – 81 UGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-8 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 8-10 |
| Home | 16-1 | 15-3 |
| Away | 6-5 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 8-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.0 | 75.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.1 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 21.4 (#5) | 14.6 (#31) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.58 (#2) | 3.64 (#13) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.83 (#3) | 4.81 (#10) |
| RPI | 0.655 (#11) | 0.619 (#29) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 48.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 39.7 | 39.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.43 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 54.5% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 39.5% | 38.7% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 31.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.5% | 44.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.7% | 20.1% |
Game Analysis
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