Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -16.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +7 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | TENN -17.0 (+10.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.6 (-3.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -15.9 (+8.9) | 147.7 (-4.7) | 12% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -14.4 (+7.4) | 147.7 (-4.7) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -14.4 (+7.4) | 146.5 (-3.5) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -14.6 (+7.6) | 146.8 (-3.8) | 12% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | TENN 86 – 85 UGA |
| Jan 16, 2025 | TENN 74 – 56 UGA |
| Jan 13, 2024 | TENN 85 – 79 UGA |
| Jan 26, 2023 | TENN 70 – 41 UGA |
| Feb 11, 2021 | TENN 89 – 81 UGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UGA | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-26 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 1-17 | 14-4 |
| Home | 6-13 | 16-0 |
| Away | 0-10 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L12 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 73.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.5 | 62.9 |
| Massey | -1.7 (#198) | 18.1 (#9) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.80 (#246) | 3.04 (#13) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.88 (#235) | 3.69 (#13) |
| RPI | 0.447 (#275) | 0.635 (#7) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UGA | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 28.8% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.4% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 23.6% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.3% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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