Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | UGA +280 TENN -400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +6 | 164 | Lost |
| Massey | TENN -7.6 (+1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.8 (+23.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -4.9 (-1.1) | 144.2 (+19.8) | 34% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -6.1 (+0.1) | 144.5 (+19.5) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -4.3 (-1.7) | 140.1 (+23.9) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -4.0 (-2.0) | 140.5 (+23.5) | 30% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | TENN 86 – 85 UGA |
| Jan 16, 2025 | TENN 74 – 56 UGA |
| Jan 26, 2023 | TENN 70 – 41 UGA |
| Mar 1, 2022 | TENN 75 – 68 UGA |
| Feb 11, 2021 | TENN 89 – 81 UGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UGA | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-17 | 27-9 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 14-4 |
| Home | 13-6 | 14-2 |
| Away | 6-6 | 8-3 |
| Neutral | 1-5 | 5-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.7 | 67.4 |
| Massey | 5.7 (#95) | 17.4 (#10) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.95 (#42) | 3.07 (#9) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.22 (#54) | 4.06 (#5) |
| RPI | 0.609 (#28) | 0.663 (#5) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UGA | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 39.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.55 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 26.4% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 29.6% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.1% | 44.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
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