Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Over |
| Money | UGA -105 TENN -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +1 | 171 | Lost |
| Massey | UGA -3.0 (-4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 165.3 (+5.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UGA -3.1 (-4.1) | 159.1 (+11.9) | 70% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UGA -3.5 (-4.5) | 157.9 (+13.1) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UGA -3.8 (-4.8) | 159.5 (+11.5) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UGA -3.7 (-4.7) | 160.1 (+10.9) | 74% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 16, 2025 | TENN 74 – 56 UGA |
| Jan 13, 2024 | TENN 85 – 79 UGA |
| Jan 26, 2023 | TENN 70 – 41 UGA |
| Mar 1, 2022 | TENN 75 – 68 UGA |
| Feb 11, 2021 | TENN 89 – 81 UGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UGA | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 25-12 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 11-7 |
| Home | 14-4 | 14-3 |
| Away | 6-4 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 6-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 89.4 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.8 | 69.6 |
| Massey | 17.9 (#24) | 18.1 (#22) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.49 (#34) | 2.55 (#30) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.47 (#31) | 3.71 (#25) |
| RPI | 0.592 (#41) | 0.590 (#43) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UGA | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 48.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 41.4 | 42.5 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 15.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.0% | 54.0% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 36.9% | 44.0% |
| FT Rate | 31.2% | 28.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 46.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 65.9% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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